Plaza Centers (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 288.12
| PLAZ-L Stock | 202.50 0.00 0.00% |
Plaza |
Plaza Centers Target Price Odds to finish below 288.12
The tendency of Plaza Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 288.12 after 90 days |
| 202.50 | 90 days | 288.12 | about 61.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plaza Centers to stay under 288.12 after 90 days from now is about 61.32 (This Plaza Centers NV probability density function shows the probability of Plaza Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Plaza Centers NV price to stay between its current price of 202.50 and 288.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Plaza Centers NV has a beta of -0.0638 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Plaza Centers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Plaza Centers NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Plaza Centers NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Plaza Centers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Plaza Centers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plaza Centers NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Plaza Centers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plaza Centers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plaza Centers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plaza Centers NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plaza Centers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 41.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Plaza Centers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plaza Centers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plaza Centers NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Plaza Centers NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Plaza Centers NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Plaza Centers NV has accumulated 88.61 M in total debt. Plaza Centers NV has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Plaza Centers until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Plaza Centers' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Plaza Centers NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Plaza to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Plaza Centers' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (34.43 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.98 M). |
Plaza Centers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Plaza Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Plaza Centers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plaza Centers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 3.6 M |
Plaza Centers Technical Analysis
Plaza Centers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plaza Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plaza Centers NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plaza Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Plaza Centers Predictive Forecast Models
Plaza Centers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Plaza Centers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Plaza Centers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Plaza Centers NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Plaza Centers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plaza Centers NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Plaza Centers NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Plaza Centers NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Plaza Centers NV has accumulated 88.61 M in total debt. Plaza Centers NV has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Plaza Centers until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Plaza Centers' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Plaza Centers NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Plaza to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Plaza Centers' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (34.43 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.98 M). |
Other Information on Investing in Plaza Stock
Plaza Centers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Plaza Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Plaza with respect to the benefits of owning Plaza Centers security.