Piedmont Lithium Ltd Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.95
| PLL Stock | USD 12.35 0.06 0.49% |
Piedmont |
Piedmont Lithium Target Price Odds to finish below 11.95
The tendency of Piedmont Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.95 or more in 90 days |
| 12.35 | 90 days | 11.95 | about 69.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Piedmont Lithium to drop to $ 11.95 or more in 90 days from now is about 69.85 (This Piedmont Lithium Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Piedmont Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Piedmont Lithium price to stay between $ 11.95 and its current price of $12.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.42 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Piedmont Lithium Ltd has a beta of -1.72 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Piedmont Lithium Ltd are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Piedmont Lithium is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Piedmont Lithium Ltd has an alpha of 0.9959, implying that it can generate a 1.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Piedmont Lithium Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Piedmont Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Piedmont Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Piedmont Lithium Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Piedmont Lithium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Piedmont Lithium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Piedmont Lithium Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Piedmont Lithium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Piedmont Lithium Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Piedmont Lithium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Piedmont Lithium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Piedmont Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Piedmont Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 39.82 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21.78 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Piedmont Lithium has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Why ASX, CBA, Iperionx, and Sayona Mining shares are dropping today |
Piedmont Lithium Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Piedmont Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Piedmont Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Piedmont Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.3 M |
Piedmont Lithium Technical Analysis
Piedmont Lithium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Piedmont Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Piedmont Lithium Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Piedmont Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Piedmont Lithium Predictive Forecast Models
Piedmont Lithium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Piedmont Lithium's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Piedmont Lithium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Piedmont Lithium
Checking the ongoing alerts about Piedmont Lithium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Piedmont Lithium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Piedmont Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Piedmont Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 39.82 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21.78 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Piedmont Lithium has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Why ASX, CBA, Iperionx, and Sayona Mining shares are dropping today |
Check out Piedmont Lithium Backtesting, Piedmont Lithium Valuation, Piedmont Lithium Correlation, Piedmont Lithium Hype Analysis, Piedmont Lithium Volatility, Piedmont Lithium History as well as Piedmont Lithium Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Piedmont Lithium. If investors know Piedmont will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Piedmont Lithium listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.293 | Earnings Share (4.10) | Revenue Per Share 0.024 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.41) | Return On Assets (0.09) |
The market value of Piedmont Lithium is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Piedmont that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Piedmont Lithium's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Piedmont Lithium's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Piedmont Lithium's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Piedmont Lithium's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Piedmont Lithium's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Piedmont Lithium is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Piedmont Lithium's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.