Smallcap Fund Fka Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 24.77
| PLLAX Fund | USD 28.16 0.04 0.14% |
Smallcap |
Smallcap Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 24.77
The tendency of Smallcap Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 24.77 or more in 90 days |
| 28.16 | 90 days | 24.77 | roughly 2.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smallcap Fund to drop to $ 24.77 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.29 (This Smallcap Fund Fka probability density function shows the probability of Smallcap Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Smallcap Fund Fka price to stay between $ 24.77 and its current price of $28.16 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.63 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.4 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Smallcap Fund will likely underperform. Additionally Smallcap Fund Fka has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Smallcap Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Smallcap Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smallcap Fund Fka. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Smallcap Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smallcap Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smallcap Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smallcap Fund Fka, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smallcap Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0098 |
Smallcap Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smallcap Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smallcap Fund Fka can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Smallcap Fund Technical Analysis
Smallcap Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Smallcap Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Smallcap Fund Fka. In general, you should focus on analyzing Smallcap Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Smallcap Fund Predictive Forecast Models
Smallcap Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Smallcap Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Smallcap Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Smallcap Fund Fka
Checking the ongoing alerts about Smallcap Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Smallcap Fund Fka help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in Smallcap Mutual Fund
Smallcap Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Smallcap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Smallcap with respect to the benefits of owning Smallcap Fund security.
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