Plano Plano (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.89

PLPL3 Stock  BRL 13.64  0.44  3.33%   
Plano Plano's future price is the expected price of Plano Plano instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Plano Plano Desenvolvimento performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Plano Plano Backtesting, Plano Plano Valuation, Plano Plano Correlation, Plano Plano Hype Analysis, Plano Plano Volatility, Plano Plano History as well as Plano Plano Performance.
  
Please specify Plano Plano's target price for which you would like Plano Plano odds to be computed.

Plano Plano Target Price Odds to finish below 10.89

The tendency of Plano Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to R$ 10.89  or more in 90 days
 13.64 90 days 10.89 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plano Plano to drop to R$ 10.89  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Plano Plano Desenvolvimento probability density function shows the probability of Plano Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Plano Plano Desenvol price to stay between R$ 10.89  and its current price of R$13.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Plano Plano has a beta of 0.29 indicating as returns on the market go up, Plano Plano average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Plano Plano Desenvolvimento will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Plano Plano Desenvolvimento has an alpha of 0.0888, implying that it can generate a 0.0888 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Plano Plano Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Plano Plano

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plano Plano Desenvol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2113.2015.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3211.3113.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3113.3015.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.8013.1013.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Plano Plano. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Plano Plano's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Plano Plano's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Plano Plano Desenvol.

Plano Plano Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plano Plano is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plano Plano's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plano Plano Desenvolvimento, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plano Plano within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio 0

Plano Plano Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plano Plano for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plano Plano Desenvol can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Plano Plano Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Plano Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Plano Plano's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plano Plano's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding201.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments291.4 M

Plano Plano Technical Analysis

Plano Plano's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plano Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plano Plano Desenvolvimento. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plano Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Plano Plano Predictive Forecast Models

Plano Plano's time-series forecasting models is one of many Plano Plano's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Plano Plano's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Plano Plano Desenvol

Checking the ongoing alerts about Plano Plano for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plano Plano Desenvol help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Plano Stock Analysis

When running Plano Plano's price analysis, check to measure Plano Plano's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plano Plano is operating at the current time. Most of Plano Plano's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plano Plano's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plano Plano's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plano Plano to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.