Pimco Long Term Credit Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.27
| PLRIX Fund | USD 7.36 0.06 0.82% |
Pimco |
Pimco Long-term Target Price Odds to finish below 7.27
The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.27 or more in 90 days |
| 7.36 | 90 days | 7.27 | about 26.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Long-term to drop to $ 7.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.69 (This Pimco Long Term Credit probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco Long Term price to stay between $ 7.27 and its current price of $7.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.52 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pimco Long Term Credit has a beta of -0.13 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pimco Long-term are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pimco Long Term Credit is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pimco Long Term Credit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pimco Long-term Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pimco Long-term
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Long Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pimco Long-term Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Long-term is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Long-term's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Long Term Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Long-term within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0093 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Pimco Long-term Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Long-term for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Long Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pimco Long Term generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pimco Long Term generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 17.61% of its assets in cash |
Pimco Long-term Technical Analysis
Pimco Long-term's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco Long Term Credit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pimco Long-term Predictive Forecast Models
Pimco Long-term's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco Long-term's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco Long-term's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pimco Long Term
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Long-term for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Long Term help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pimco Long Term generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pimco Long Term generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 17.61% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund
Pimco Long-term financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Long-term security.
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