Prime Meridian Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0966

PMDRF Stock  USD 0.11  0.01  10.00%   
Prime Meridian's future price is the expected price of Prime Meridian instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prime Meridian Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prime Meridian Backtesting, Prime Meridian Valuation, Prime Meridian Correlation, Prime Meridian Hype Analysis, Prime Meridian Volatility, Prime Meridian History as well as Prime Meridian Performance.
  
Please specify Prime Meridian's target price for which you would like Prime Meridian odds to be computed.

Prime Meridian Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0966

The tendency of Prime Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.1  or more in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 0.1 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prime Meridian to drop to $ 0.1  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Prime Meridian Resources probability density function shows the probability of Prime Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prime Meridian Resources price to stay between $ 0.1  and its current price of $0.11 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Prime Meridian has a beta of 0.84 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prime Meridian average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prime Meridian Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prime Meridian Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Prime Meridian Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prime Meridian

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prime Meridian Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.115.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.15.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.105.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.130.18
Details

Prime Meridian Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prime Meridian is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prime Meridian's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prime Meridian Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prime Meridian within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Prime Meridian Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prime Meridian for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prime Meridian Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prime Meridian generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Prime Meridian has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Prime Meridian has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Prime Meridian has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Prime Meridian Resources has accumulated 1.46 M in total debt. Prime Meridian Resources has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Prime Meridian until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Prime Meridian's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Prime Meridian Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Prime to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Prime Meridian's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Prime Meridian Resources has accumulated about 6.83 K in cash with (1.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Prime Meridian Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prime Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prime Meridian's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prime Meridian's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.8 M

Prime Meridian Technical Analysis

Prime Meridian's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prime Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prime Meridian Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prime Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prime Meridian Predictive Forecast Models

Prime Meridian's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prime Meridian's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prime Meridian's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prime Meridian Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prime Meridian for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prime Meridian Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prime Meridian generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Prime Meridian has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Prime Meridian has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Prime Meridian has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Prime Meridian Resources has accumulated 1.46 M in total debt. Prime Meridian Resources has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Prime Meridian until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Prime Meridian's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Prime Meridian Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Prime to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Prime Meridian's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Prime Meridian Resources has accumulated about 6.83 K in cash with (1.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Prime Pink Sheet

Prime Meridian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prime Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prime with respect to the benefits of owning Prime Meridian security.