Pampa Metals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0
| PMMCF Stock | USD 0.16 0.01 6.67% |
Pampa |
Pampa Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0
The tendency of Pampa OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.00 or more in 90 days |
| 0.16 | 90 days | 0.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pampa Metals to drop to $ 0.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pampa Metals probability density function shows the probability of Pampa OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pampa Metals price to stay between $ 0.00 and its current price of $0.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pampa Metals has a beta of 0.56 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pampa Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pampa Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pampa Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pampa Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pampa Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pampa Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pampa Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pampa Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pampa Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pampa Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pampa Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pampa Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Pampa Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pampa Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pampa Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pampa Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pampa Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pampa Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pampa Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Pampa Metals has accumulated about 637.35 K in cash with (1.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pampa Metals Technical Analysis
Pampa Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pampa OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pampa Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pampa OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pampa Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Pampa Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pampa Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pampa Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pampa Metals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pampa Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pampa Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pampa Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pampa Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pampa Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pampa Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Pampa Metals has accumulated about 637.35 K in cash with (1.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pampa OTC Stock
Pampa Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pampa OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pampa with respect to the benefits of owning Pampa Metals security.