Payment Financial (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 298.21

PMNT Stock   331.30  8.80  2.73%   
Payment Financial's future price is the expected price of Payment Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Payment Financial Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Payment Financial Backtesting, Payment Financial Valuation, Payment Financial Correlation, Payment Financial Hype Analysis, Payment Financial Volatility, Payment Financial History as well as Payment Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Payment Financial's target price for which you would like Payment Financial odds to be computed.

Payment Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 298.21

The tendency of Payment Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  298.21  or more in 90 days
 331.30 90 days 298.21 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Payment Financial to drop to  298.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Payment Financial Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Payment Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Payment Financial price to stay between  298.21  and its current price of 331.3 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Payment Financial has a beta of 0.3 indicating as returns on the market go up, Payment Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Payment Financial Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Payment Financial Technologies has an alpha of 0.2855, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Payment Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Payment Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Payment Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
327.27331.30335.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
255.30259.33364.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
352.68356.71360.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
320.07328.37336.66
Details

Payment Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Payment Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Payment Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Payment Financial Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Payment Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
17.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Payment Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Payment Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Payment Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Payment Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Payment Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Payment Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Payment Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Payment Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float3.3 M

Payment Financial Technical Analysis

Payment Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Payment Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Payment Financial Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Payment Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Payment Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Payment Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Payment Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Payment Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Payment Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Payment Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Payment Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Payment Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Payment Stock

Payment Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payment Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payment with respect to the benefits of owning Payment Financial security.