Bond Market Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.4
| PNIIX Fund | USD 8.68 0.01 0.12% |
Bond |
Bond Market Target Price Odds to finish below 8.4
The tendency of Bond Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.40 or more in 90 days |
| 8.68 | 90 days | 8.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bond Market to drop to $ 8.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bond Market Index probability density function shows the probability of Bond Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bond Market Index price to stay between $ 8.40 and its current price of $8.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bond Market Index has a beta of -0.0633 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bond Market are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bond Market Index is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bond Market Index has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bond Market Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bond Market
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bond Market Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bond Market Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bond Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bond Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bond Market Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bond Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.48 |
Bond Market Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bond Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bond Market Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bond Market Index generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bond Market Index generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 7.97% of its assets in cash |
Bond Market Technical Analysis
Bond Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bond Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bond Market Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bond Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bond Market Predictive Forecast Models
Bond Market's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bond Market's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bond Market's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bond Market Index
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bond Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bond Market Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bond Market Index generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bond Market Index generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 7.97% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Bond Mutual Fund
Bond Market financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bond Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bond with respect to the benefits of owning Bond Market security.
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data |