Pioneer Natural (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.38
| PNK Stock | EUR 0.45 0.05 12.50% |
Pioneer |
Pioneer Natural Target Price Odds to finish over 0.38
The tendency of Pioneer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.38 in 90 days |
| 0.45 | 90 days | 0.38 | about 66.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pioneer Natural to stay above € 0.38 in 90 days from now is about 66.64 (This Pioneer Natural Resources probability density function shows the probability of Pioneer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pioneer Natural Resources price to stay between € 0.38 and its current price of €0.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pioneer Natural Resources has a beta of -1.41 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Pioneer Natural Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Pioneer Natural is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Pioneer Natural Resources has an alpha of 1.0724, implying that it can generate a 1.07 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pioneer Natural Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pioneer Natural
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pioneer Natural Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pioneer Natural Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pioneer Natural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pioneer Natural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pioneer Natural Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pioneer Natural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Pioneer Natural Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pioneer Natural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pioneer Natural Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pioneer Natural is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pioneer Natural has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pioneer Natural appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Pioneer Natural Resources has accumulated 4.12 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 21.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Pioneer Natural Resources has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pioneer Natural until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pioneer Natural's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pioneer Natural Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pioneer to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pioneer Natural's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 90.0% of Pioneer Natural shares are owned by institutional investors |
Pioneer Natural Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pioneer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pioneer Natural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pioneer Natural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 236 M |
Pioneer Natural Technical Analysis
Pioneer Natural's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pioneer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pioneer Natural Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pioneer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pioneer Natural Predictive Forecast Models
Pioneer Natural's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pioneer Natural's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pioneer Natural's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pioneer Natural Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pioneer Natural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pioneer Natural Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pioneer Natural is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pioneer Natural has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pioneer Natural appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Pioneer Natural Resources has accumulated 4.12 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 21.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Pioneer Natural Resources has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pioneer Natural until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pioneer Natural's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pioneer Natural Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pioneer to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pioneer Natural's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 90.0% of Pioneer Natural shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Pioneer Stock
Pioneer Natural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pioneer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pioneer with respect to the benefits of owning Pioneer Natural security.