Pinetree Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.38
| PNP Stock | CAD 12.50 0.40 3.31% |
Pinetree |
Pinetree Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 10.38
The tendency of Pinetree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 10.38 in 90 days |
| 12.50 | 90 days | 10.38 | about 8.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pinetree Capital to stay above C$ 10.38 in 90 days from now is about 8.61 (This Pinetree Capital probability density function shows the probability of Pinetree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pinetree Capital price to stay between C$ 10.38 and its current price of C$12.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pinetree Capital has a beta of -0.57 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pinetree Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pinetree Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pinetree Capital has an alpha of 0.9371, implying that it can generate a 0.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pinetree Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pinetree Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pinetree Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pinetree Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pinetree Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pinetree Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pinetree Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pinetree Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
Pinetree Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pinetree Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pinetree Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pinetree Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Pinetree Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Pinetree Capital has accumulated about 6.04 M in cash with (3.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.57. | |
| Roughly 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pinetree Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pinetree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pinetree Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pinetree Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Pinetree Capital Technical Analysis
Pinetree Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pinetree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pinetree Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pinetree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pinetree Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Pinetree Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pinetree Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pinetree Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pinetree Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pinetree Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pinetree Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pinetree Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Pinetree Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Pinetree Capital has accumulated about 6.04 M in cash with (3.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.57. | |
| Roughly 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pinetree Stock
Pinetree Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pinetree Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pinetree with respect to the benefits of owning Pinetree Capital security.