Phinergy (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 273.91

PNRG Stock  ILA 267.30  11.10  4.33%   
Phinergy's future price is the expected price of Phinergy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Phinergy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Phinergy Backtesting, Phinergy Valuation, Phinergy Correlation, Phinergy Hype Analysis, Phinergy Volatility, Phinergy History as well as Phinergy Performance.
  
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Phinergy Target Price Odds to finish over 273.91

The tendency of Phinergy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  273.91  or more in 90 days
 267.30 90 days 273.91 
about 35.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phinergy to move over  273.91  or more in 90 days from now is about 35.87 (This Phinergy probability density function shows the probability of Phinergy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phinergy price to stay between its current price of  267.30  and  273.91  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Phinergy has a beta of 0.91 indicating Phinergy market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Phinergy is expected to follow. Additionally Phinergy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Phinergy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Phinergy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phinergy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
260.69267.30273.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
213.78220.39294.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
272.99279.60286.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
229.36266.80304.24
Details

Phinergy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phinergy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phinergy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phinergy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phinergy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
25.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Phinergy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phinergy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phinergy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Phinergy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Phinergy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phinergy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phinergy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phinergy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float28 M

Phinergy Technical Analysis

Phinergy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phinergy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phinergy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phinergy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Phinergy Predictive Forecast Models

Phinergy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phinergy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phinergy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Phinergy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Phinergy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phinergy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Phinergy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Phinergy Stock

Phinergy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Phinergy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Phinergy with respect to the benefits of owning Phinergy security.