Pentair Plc (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 100.4

PNT Stock  EUR 100.30  1.40  1.42%   
Pentair Plc's future price is the expected price of Pentair Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pentair plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pentair Plc Backtesting, Pentair Plc Valuation, Pentair Plc Correlation, Pentair Plc Hype Analysis, Pentair Plc Volatility, Pentair Plc History as well as Pentair Plc Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Pentair Stock please use our How to Invest in Pentair Plc guide.
  
Please specify Pentair Plc's target price for which you would like Pentair Plc odds to be computed.

Pentair Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 100.4

The tendency of Pentair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 100.40  after 90 days
 100.30 90 days 100.40 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pentair Plc to stay under € 100.40  after 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Pentair plc probability density function shows the probability of Pentair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pentair plc price to stay between its current price of € 100.30  and € 100.40  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pentair plc has a beta of -0.0204 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pentair Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pentair plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pentair plc has an alpha of 0.4142, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pentair Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pentair Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pentair plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.00100.30101.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.0382.33110.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.1899.48100.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.5199.83101.15
Details

Pentair Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pentair Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pentair Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pentair plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pentair Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
7.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Pentair Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pentair Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pentair plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pentair plc has accumulated €2.32 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Pentair Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pentair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pentair Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pentair Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding164.5 M

Pentair Plc Technical Analysis

Pentair Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pentair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pentair plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pentair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pentair Plc Predictive Forecast Models

Pentair Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pentair Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pentair Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pentair plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pentair Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pentair plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pentair plc has accumulated €2.32 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Pentair Stock

When determining whether Pentair plc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pentair Plc's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pentair Plc's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pentair Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Pentair Plc Backtesting, Pentair Plc Valuation, Pentair Plc Correlation, Pentair Plc Hype Analysis, Pentair Plc Volatility, Pentair Plc History as well as Pentair Plc Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Pentair Stock please use our How to Invest in Pentair Plc guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pentair Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pentair Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pentair Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.