Porsche Automobile Holding Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.03

POAHY Stock  USD 3.56  0.03  0.85%   
Porsche Automobile's future price is the expected price of Porsche Automobile instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Porsche Automobile Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Porsche Automobile Backtesting, Porsche Automobile Valuation, Porsche Automobile Correlation, Porsche Automobile Hype Analysis, Porsche Automobile Volatility, Porsche Automobile History as well as Porsche Automobile Performance.
  
Please specify Porsche Automobile's target price for which you would like Porsche Automobile odds to be computed.

Porsche Automobile Target Price Odds to finish below 2.03

The tendency of Porsche Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 2.03  or more in 90 days
 3.56 90 days 2.03 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Porsche Automobile to drop to $ 2.03  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Porsche Automobile Holding probability density function shows the probability of Porsche Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Porsche Automobile price to stay between $ 2.03  and its current price of $3.56 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Porsche Automobile Holding has a beta of -0.23 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Porsche Automobile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Porsche Automobile Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Porsche Automobile Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Porsche Automobile Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Porsche Automobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Porsche Automobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.723.565.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.363.205.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.553.395.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.514.064.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Porsche Automobile. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Porsche Automobile's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Porsche Automobile's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Porsche Automobile.

Porsche Automobile Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Porsche Automobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Porsche Automobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Porsche Automobile Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Porsche Automobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Porsche Automobile Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Porsche Automobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Porsche Automobile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Porsche Automobile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Porsche Automobile Holding has accumulated 37 M in total debt. Porsche Automobile has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Porsche Automobile until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Porsche Automobile's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Porsche Automobile sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Porsche to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Porsche Automobile's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Porsche Automobile Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Porsche Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Porsche Automobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Porsche Automobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments642 M

Porsche Automobile Technical Analysis

Porsche Automobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Porsche Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Porsche Automobile Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Porsche Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Porsche Automobile Predictive Forecast Models

Porsche Automobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Porsche Automobile's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Porsche Automobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Porsche Automobile

Checking the ongoing alerts about Porsche Automobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Porsche Automobile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Porsche Automobile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Porsche Automobile Holding has accumulated 37 M in total debt. Porsche Automobile has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Porsche Automobile until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Porsche Automobile's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Porsche Automobile sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Porsche to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Porsche Automobile's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Porsche Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Porsche Automobile's price analysis, check to measure Porsche Automobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Porsche Automobile is operating at the current time. Most of Porsche Automobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Porsche Automobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Porsche Automobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Porsche Automobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.