Pacific Funds Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.46

PODCX Fund  USD 12.44  0.05  0.40%   
Pacific Funds' future price is the expected price of Pacific Funds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pacific Funds Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pacific Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pacific Funds Correlation, Pacific Funds Hype Analysis, Pacific Funds Volatility, Pacific Funds History as well as Pacific Funds Performance.
  
Please specify Pacific Funds' target price for which you would like Pacific Funds odds to be computed.

Pacific Funds Target Price Odds to finish below 12.46

The tendency of Pacific Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 12.46  after 90 days
 12.44 90 days 12.46 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacific Funds to stay under $ 12.46  after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Pacific Funds Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Pacific Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacific Funds Portfolio price to stay between its current price of $ 12.44  and $ 12.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pacific Funds has a beta of 0.59 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pacific Funds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pacific Funds Portfolio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pacific Funds Portfolio has an alpha of 0.0296, implying that it can generate a 0.0296 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pacific Funds Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pacific Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Funds Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pacific Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9412.4512.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2113.6314.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9412.4512.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4512.4512.45
Details

Pacific Funds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacific Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacific Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacific Funds Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacific Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Pacific Funds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacific Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacific Funds Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 2 Stocks Top Global Fund Managers Have Been Buying - Morningstar
The fund maintains about 16.44% of its assets in cash

Pacific Funds Technical Analysis

Pacific Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacific Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacific Funds Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacific Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pacific Funds Predictive Forecast Models

Pacific Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacific Funds' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacific Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pacific Funds Portfolio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacific Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacific Funds Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 2 Stocks Top Global Fund Managers Have Been Buying - Morningstar
The fund maintains about 16.44% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Pacific Mutual Fund

Pacific Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Funds security.
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