Prologis (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 116.88
| POJN Stock | EUR 109.64 1.34 1.21% |
Prologis |
Prologis Target Price Odds to finish below 116.88
The tendency of Prologis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 116.88 after 90 days |
| 109.64 | 90 days | 116.88 | over 95.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prologis to stay under € 116.88 after 90 days from now is over 95.1 (This Prologis probability density function shows the probability of Prologis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prologis price to stay between its current price of € 109.64 and € 116.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prologis has a beta of -0.34 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Prologis are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Prologis is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Prologis has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Prologis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Prologis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prologis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prologis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prologis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prologis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prologis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prologis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Prologis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prologis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prologis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Prologis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Prologis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prologis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prologis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prologis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 923.1 M |
Prologis Technical Analysis
Prologis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prologis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prologis. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prologis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Prologis Predictive Forecast Models
Prologis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Prologis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prologis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Prologis
Checking the ongoing alerts about Prologis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prologis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Prologis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Prologis Stock
When determining whether Prologis is a strong investment it is important to analyze Prologis' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Prologis' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Prologis Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Prologis Backtesting, Prologis Valuation, Prologis Correlation, Prologis Hype Analysis, Prologis Volatility, Prologis History as well as Prologis Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Prologis Stock please use our How to Invest in Prologis guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.