Pool Advista (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.18
| POLA Stock | 11.00 1.00 8.33% |
Pool |
Pool Advista Target Price Odds to finish below 7.18
The tendency of Pool Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.18 or more in 90 days |
| 11.00 | 90 days | 7.18 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pool Advista to drop to 7.18 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pool Advista Finance probability density function shows the probability of Pool Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pool Advista Finance price to stay between 7.18 and its current price of 11.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pool Advista Finance has a beta of -1.72 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Pool Advista Finance are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Pool Advista is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Pool Advista Finance has an alpha of 0.6326, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pool Advista Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pool Advista
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pool Advista Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pool Advista Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pool Advista is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pool Advista's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pool Advista Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pool Advista within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Pool Advista Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pool Advista for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pool Advista Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pool Advista Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pool Advista Finance has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pool Advista Finance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (47.37 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (34.26 B). | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pool Advista Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pool Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pool Advista's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pool Advista's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Pool Advista Technical Analysis
Pool Advista's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pool Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pool Advista Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pool Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pool Advista Predictive Forecast Models
Pool Advista's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pool Advista's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pool Advista's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pool Advista Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pool Advista for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pool Advista Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pool Advista Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pool Advista Finance has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pool Advista Finance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (47.37 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (34.26 B). | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pool Stock
Pool Advista financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pool Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pool with respect to the benefits of owning Pool Advista security.