Pollux Investasi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 817.05
| POLI Stock | 785.00 5.00 0.63% |
Pollux |
Pollux Investasi Target Price Odds to finish below 817.05
The tendency of Pollux Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 817.05 after 90 days |
| 785.00 | 90 days | 817.05 | about 58.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pollux Investasi to stay under 817.05 after 90 days from now is about 58.04 (This Pollux Investasi Internasional probability density function shows the probability of Pollux Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pollux Investasi Int price to stay between its current price of 785.00 and 817.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pollux Investasi Internasional has a beta of -0.31 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pollux Investasi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pollux Investasi Internasional is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pollux Investasi Internasional has an alpha of 0.1085, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pollux Investasi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pollux Investasi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pollux Investasi Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pollux Investasi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pollux Investasi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pollux Investasi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pollux Investasi Internasional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pollux Investasi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 41.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Pollux Investasi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pollux Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pollux Investasi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pollux Investasi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.2 B |
Pollux Investasi Technical Analysis
Pollux Investasi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pollux Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pollux Investasi Internasional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pollux Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pollux Investasi Predictive Forecast Models
Pollux Investasi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pollux Investasi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pollux Investasi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Pollux Investasi in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Pollux Investasi's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Pollux Investasi options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Pollux Stock
Pollux Investasi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pollux Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pollux with respect to the benefits of owning Pollux Investasi security.