Pony Ai American Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.6
| PONY Stock | 13.16 0.24 1.86% |
Pony |
Pony AI Target Price Odds to finish below 12.6
The tendency of Pony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 12.60 or more in 90 days |
| 13.16 | 90 days | 12.60 | about 30.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pony AI to drop to 12.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.89 (This Pony AI American probability density function shows the probability of Pony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pony AI American price to stay between 12.60 and its current price of 13.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.44 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pony AI has a beta of 0.29 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pony AI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pony AI American will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pony AI American has an alpha of 0.6637, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pony AI Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pony AI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pony AI American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pony AI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pony AI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pony AI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pony AI American, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pony AI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Pony AI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pony AI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pony AI American can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pony AI American is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pony AI American appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Pony.ai Shares Surge on Robotaxi Collaboration with GAC Aion |
Pony AI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pony AI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pony AI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Pony AI Technical Analysis
Pony AI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pony Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pony AI American. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pony Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pony AI Predictive Forecast Models
Pony AI's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pony AI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pony AI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pony AI American
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pony AI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pony AI American help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pony AI American is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pony AI American appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Pony.ai Shares Surge on Robotaxi Collaboration with GAC Aion |
Additional Tools for Pony Stock Analysis
When running Pony AI's price analysis, check to measure Pony AI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pony AI is operating at the current time. Most of Pony AI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pony AI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pony AI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pony AI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.