Positivo Tecnologia (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.36
| POSI3 Stock | BRL 5.06 0.64 11.23% |
Positivo |
Positivo Tecnologia Target Price Odds to finish over 7.36
The tendency of Positivo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 7.36 or more in 90 days |
| 5.06 | 90 days | 7.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Positivo Tecnologia to move over R$ 7.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Positivo Tecnologia SA probability density function shows the probability of Positivo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Positivo Tecnologia price to stay between its current price of R$ 5.06 and R$ 7.36 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Positivo Tecnologia SA has a beta of -0.0774 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Positivo Tecnologia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Positivo Tecnologia SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Positivo Tecnologia SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Positivo Tecnologia Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Positivo Tecnologia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Positivo Tecnologia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Positivo Tecnologia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Positivo Tecnologia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Positivo Tecnologia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Positivo Tecnologia SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Positivo Tecnologia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Positivo Tecnologia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Positivo Tecnologia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Positivo Tecnologia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Positivo Tecnologia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Positivo Tecnologia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Positivo Tecnologia SA has accumulated about 295.1 M in cash with (145.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.73. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Positivo Tecnologia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Positivo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Positivo Tecnologia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Positivo Tecnologia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 136.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 359 M |
Positivo Tecnologia Technical Analysis
Positivo Tecnologia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Positivo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Positivo Tecnologia SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Positivo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Positivo Tecnologia Predictive Forecast Models
Positivo Tecnologia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Positivo Tecnologia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Positivo Tecnologia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Positivo Tecnologia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Positivo Tecnologia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Positivo Tecnologia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Positivo Tecnologia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Positivo Tecnologia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Positivo Tecnologia SA has accumulated about 295.1 M in cash with (145.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.73. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Positivo Stock Analysis
When running Positivo Tecnologia's price analysis, check to measure Positivo Tecnologia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Positivo Tecnologia is operating at the current time. Most of Positivo Tecnologia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Positivo Tecnologia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Positivo Tecnologia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Positivo Tecnologia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.