PPL (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.93
| PP9 Stock | EUR 32.93 0.01 0.03% |
PPL |
PPL Target Price Odds to finish below 21.93
The tendency of PPL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 21.93 or more in 90 days |
| 32.93 | 90 days | 21.93 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PPL to drop to € 21.93 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PPL Corporation probability density function shows the probability of PPL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PPL Corporation price to stay between € 21.93 and its current price of €32.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PPL has a beta of 0.17 indicating as returns on the market go up, PPL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PPL Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PPL Corporation has an alpha of 0.2088, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PPL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PPL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PPL Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PPL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PPL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PPL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PPL Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PPL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
PPL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PPL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PPL Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PPL Corporation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| PPL Corporation has accumulated 12.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 188.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PPL Corporation has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PPL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PPL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PPL Corporation sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PPL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PPL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 73.0% of PPL shares are owned by institutional investors |
PPL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PPL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PPL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PPL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 736.5 M |
PPL Technical Analysis
PPL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PPL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PPL Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing PPL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PPL Predictive Forecast Models
PPL's time-series forecasting models is one of many PPL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PPL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PPL Corporation
Checking the ongoing alerts about PPL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PPL Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PPL Corporation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| PPL Corporation has accumulated 12.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 188.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. PPL Corporation has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PPL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PPL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PPL Corporation sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PPL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PPL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 73.0% of PPL shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in PPL Stock
When determining whether PPL Corporation is a strong investment it is important to analyze PPL's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact PPL's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PPL Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out PPL Backtesting, PPL Valuation, PPL Correlation, PPL Hype Analysis, PPL Volatility, PPL History as well as PPL Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.