Pha Lai (Vietnam) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11150.0

PPC Stock   11,850  150.00  1.28%   
Pha Lai's future price is the expected price of Pha Lai instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pha Lai Thermal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pha Lai Backtesting, Pha Lai Valuation, Pha Lai Correlation, Pha Lai Hype Analysis, Pha Lai Volatility, Pha Lai History as well as Pha Lai Performance.
  
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Pha Lai Target Price Odds to finish over 11150.0

The tendency of Pha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  11,150  in 90 days
 11,850 90 days 11,150 
about 62.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pha Lai to stay above  11,150  in 90 days from now is about 62.14 (This Pha Lai Thermal probability density function shows the probability of Pha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pha Lai Thermal price to stay between  11,150  and its current price of 11850.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pha Lai has a beta of 0.14 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pha Lai average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pha Lai Thermal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pha Lai Thermal has an alpha of 0.1067, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pha Lai Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pha Lai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pha Lai Thermal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,84911,85011,851
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10,66514,10214,102
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11,63011,63011,631
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,75611,31611,876
Details

Pha Lai Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pha Lai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pha Lai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pha Lai Thermal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pha Lai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
285.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Pha Lai Technical Analysis

Pha Lai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pha Lai Thermal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pha Lai Predictive Forecast Models

Pha Lai's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pha Lai's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pha Lai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Pha Lai in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Pha Lai's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Pha Lai options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Pha Stock

Pha Lai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pha with respect to the benefits of owning Pha Lai security.