Pampa Energa Sa Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 2.3

PPENF Stock   2.32  0.00  0.00%   
Pampa Energía's future price is the expected price of Pampa Energía instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pampa Energa SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pampa Energía Backtesting, Pampa Energía Valuation, Pampa Energía Correlation, Pampa Energía Hype Analysis, Pampa Energía Volatility, Pampa Energía History as well as Pampa Energía Performance.
  
Please specify Pampa Energía's target price for which you would like Pampa Energía odds to be computed.

Pampa Energía Target Price Odds to finish over 2.3

The tendency of Pampa OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  2.30  in 90 days
 2.32 90 days 2.30 
about 27.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pampa Energía to stay above  2.30  in 90 days from now is about 27.22 (This Pampa Energa SA probability density function shows the probability of Pampa OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pampa Energa SA price to stay between  2.30  and its current price of 2.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pampa Energía has a beta of 0.57 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pampa Energía average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pampa Energa SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pampa Energa SA has an alpha of 0.5987, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pampa Energía Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pampa Energía

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pampa Energa SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.327.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.807.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.187.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.322.322.32
Details

Pampa Energía Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pampa Energía is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pampa Energía's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pampa Energa SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pampa Energía within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Pampa Energía Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pampa Energía for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pampa Energa SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pampa Energa SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Pampa Energa SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pampa Energía Technical Analysis

Pampa Energía's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pampa OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pampa Energa SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pampa OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pampa Energía Predictive Forecast Models

Pampa Energía's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pampa Energía's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pampa Energía's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pampa Energa SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pampa Energía for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pampa Energa SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pampa Energa SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Pampa Energa SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Pampa OTC Stock

Pampa Energía financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pampa OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pampa with respect to the benefits of owning Pampa Energía security.