PPG Industries (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2490.38

PPG Stock  MXN 2,512  0.00  0.00%   
PPG Industries' future price is the expected price of PPG Industries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PPG Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PPG Industries Backtesting, PPG Industries Valuation, PPG Industries Correlation, PPG Industries Hype Analysis, PPG Industries Volatility, PPG Industries History as well as PPG Industries Performance.
For more information on how to buy PPG Stock please use our How to Invest in PPG Industries guide.
  
Please specify PPG Industries' target price for which you would like PPG Industries odds to be computed.

PPG Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 2490.38

The tendency of PPG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2,490  or more in 90 days
 2,512 90 days 2,490 
about 79.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PPG Industries to drop to  2,490  or more in 90 days from now is about 79.6 (This PPG Industries probability density function shows the probability of PPG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PPG Industries price to stay between  2,490  and its current price of 2512.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PPG Industries has a beta of -0.13 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PPG Industries are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PPG Industries is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PPG Industries has an alpha of 0.1416, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PPG Industries Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PPG Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PPG Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,5112,5122,513
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,2622,2632,763
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,5632,5642,565
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,5012,5102,519
Details

PPG Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PPG Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PPG Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PPG Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PPG Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
102.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

PPG Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PPG Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PPG Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PPG Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

PPG Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PPG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PPG Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PPG Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding235 M

PPG Industries Technical Analysis

PPG Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PPG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PPG Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing PPG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PPG Industries Predictive Forecast Models

PPG Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many PPG Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PPG Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PPG Industries

Checking the ongoing alerts about PPG Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PPG Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PPG Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for PPG Stock Analysis

When running PPG Industries' price analysis, check to measure PPG Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PPG Industries is operating at the current time. Most of PPG Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PPG Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PPG Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PPG Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.