Pimco Trends Managed Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.06

PQTAX Fund  USD 9.99  0.07  0.70%   
Pimco Trends' future price is the expected price of Pimco Trends instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pimco Trends Managed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pimco Trends Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pimco Trends Correlation, Pimco Trends Hype Analysis, Pimco Trends Volatility, Pimco Trends History as well as Pimco Trends Performance.
  
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Pimco Trends Target Price Odds to finish over 10.06

The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.06  or more in 90 days
 9.99 90 days 10.06 
about 33.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Trends to move over $ 10.06  or more in 90 days from now is about 33.69 (This Pimco Trends Managed probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco Trends Managed price to stay between its current price of $ 9.99  and $ 10.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pimco Trends has a beta of 0.29 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pimco Trends average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pimco Trends Managed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pimco Trends Managed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pimco Trends Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pimco Trends

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Trends Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4710.0610.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4510.0410.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.4410.0310.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.8610.0110.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pimco Trends. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pimco Trends' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pimco Trends' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pimco Trends Managed.

Pimco Trends Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Trends is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Trends' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Trends Managed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Trends within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Pimco Trends Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Trends for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Trends Managed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pimco Trends Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Pimco Trends Managed maintains about 292.81% of its assets in cash

Pimco Trends Technical Analysis

Pimco Trends' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco Trends Managed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pimco Trends Predictive Forecast Models

Pimco Trends' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco Trends' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco Trends' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pimco Trends Managed

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Trends for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Trends Managed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pimco Trends Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Pimco Trends Managed maintains about 292.81% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco Trends financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Trends security.
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