Prabos Plus (Czech Republic) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 266.0

PRAB Stock   268.00  2.00  0.74%   
Prabos Plus' future price is the expected price of Prabos Plus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prabos Plus as performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prabos Plus Backtesting, Prabos Plus Valuation, Prabos Plus Correlation, Prabos Plus Hype Analysis, Prabos Plus Volatility, Prabos Plus History as well as Prabos Plus Performance.
  
Please specify Prabos Plus' target price for which you would like Prabos Plus odds to be computed.

Prabos Plus Target Price Odds to finish below 266.0

The tendency of Prabos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  266.00  or more in 90 days
 268.00 90 days 266.00 
about 27.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prabos Plus to drop to  266.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.18 (This Prabos Plus as probability density function shows the probability of Prabos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prabos Plus as price to stay between  266.00  and its current price of 268.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prabos Plus has a beta of 0.26 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prabos Plus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prabos Plus as will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prabos Plus as has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Prabos Plus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prabos Plus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prabos Plus as. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
265.81268.00270.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
214.08216.27294.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
266.66268.84271.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
266.77268.60270.43
Details

Prabos Plus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prabos Plus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prabos Plus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prabos Plus as, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prabos Plus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0091
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
6.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Prabos Plus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prabos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prabos Plus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prabos Plus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0373
Forward Annual Dividend Rate14.9

Prabos Plus Technical Analysis

Prabos Plus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prabos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prabos Plus as. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prabos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prabos Plus Predictive Forecast Models

Prabos Plus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Prabos Plus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prabos Plus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Prabos Plus in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Prabos Plus' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Prabos Plus options trading.

Additional Tools for Prabos Stock Analysis

When running Prabos Plus' price analysis, check to measure Prabos Plus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Prabos Plus is operating at the current time. Most of Prabos Plus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Prabos Plus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Prabos Plus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Prabos Plus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.