Peerapat Technology (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.07

PRAPAT Stock  THB 1.46  0.01  0.68%   
Peerapat Technology's future price is the expected price of Peerapat Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Peerapat Technology Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Peerapat Technology Backtesting, Peerapat Technology Valuation, Peerapat Technology Correlation, Peerapat Technology Hype Analysis, Peerapat Technology Volatility, Peerapat Technology History as well as Peerapat Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Peerapat Technology's target price for which you would like Peerapat Technology odds to be computed.

Peerapat Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 0.07

The tendency of Peerapat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.07  or more in 90 days
 1.46 90 days 0.07 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Peerapat Technology to drop to  0.07  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Peerapat Technology Public probability density function shows the probability of Peerapat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Peerapat Technology price to stay between  0.07  and its current price of 1.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Peerapat Technology Public has a beta of -0.29 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Peerapat Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Peerapat Technology Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Peerapat Technology Public has an alpha of 0.0644, implying that it can generate a 0.0644 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Peerapat Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Peerapat Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peerapat Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.463.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.223.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.523.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.451.471.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Peerapat Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Peerapat Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Peerapat Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Peerapat Technology.

Peerapat Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Peerapat Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Peerapat Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Peerapat Technology Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Peerapat Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Peerapat Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Peerapat Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Peerapat Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Peerapat Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Peerapat Technology may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 739.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 311.91 M.
About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Peerapat Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Peerapat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Peerapat Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peerapat Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding340 M

Peerapat Technology Technical Analysis

Peerapat Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Peerapat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Peerapat Technology Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Peerapat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Peerapat Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Peerapat Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Peerapat Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Peerapat Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Peerapat Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Peerapat Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Peerapat Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Peerapat Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Peerapat Technology may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 739.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 311.91 M.
About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Peerapat Stock

Peerapat Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peerapat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peerapat with respect to the benefits of owning Peerapat Technology security.