Perficient Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 74.85

PRFTDelisted Stock  USD 75.96  0.04  0.05%   
Perficient's future price is the expected price of Perficient instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Perficient performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
  
Please specify Perficient's target price for which you would like Perficient odds to be computed.

Perficient Target Price Odds to finish over 74.85

The tendency of Perficient Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 74.85  in 90 days
 75.96 90 days 74.85 
about 89.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perficient to stay above $ 74.85  in 90 days from now is about 89.97 (This Perficient probability density function shows the probability of Perficient Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Perficient price to stay between $ 74.85  and its current price of $75.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.89 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Perficient has a beta of 0.0145 indicating as returns on the market go up, Perficient average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Perficient will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Perficient has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Perficient Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Perficient

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perficient. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.7875.9676.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.1564.3383.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.5875.7675.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.8175.3275.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Perficient. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Perficient's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Perficient's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Perficient.

Perficient Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perficient is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perficient's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perficient, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perficient within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.71

Perficient Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Perficient for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Perficient can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Perficient is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Perficient has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Perficient Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Perficient Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Perficient's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perficient's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments128.9 M

Perficient Technical Analysis

Perficient's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perficient Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perficient. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perficient Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Perficient Predictive Forecast Models

Perficient's time-series forecasting models is one of many Perficient's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Perficient's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Perficient

Checking the ongoing alerts about Perficient for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Perficient help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Perficient is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Perficient has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Perficient Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Perficient check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Perficient's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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