Prosegur Compañía (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.70

PRHA Stock  EUR 2.70  0.06  2.17%   
Prosegur Compañía's future price is the expected price of Prosegur Compañía instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prosegur Compaa de performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prosegur Compañía Analysis, Prosegur Compañía Valuation, Prosegur Compañía Correlation, Prosegur Compañía Hype Analysis, Prosegur Compañía Volatility, Prosegur Compañía Price History as well as Prosegur Compañía Performance.
  
Please specify Prosegur Compañía's target price for which you would like Prosegur Compañía odds to be computed.

Prosegur Compañía Target Price Odds to finish over 2.70

The tendency of Prosegur Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.70 90 days 2.70 
about 18.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prosegur Compañía to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.17 (This Prosegur Compaa de probability density function shows the probability of Prosegur Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prosegur Compaa de has a beta of -0.53 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Prosegur Compañía are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Prosegur Compaa de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Prosegur Compaa de has an alpha of 0.1791, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Prosegur Compañía Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prosegur Compañía

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prosegur Compaa de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.562.724.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.092.254.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Prosegur Compañía. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Prosegur Compañía's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Prosegur Compañía's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Prosegur Compaa de.

Prosegur Compañía Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prosegur Compañía is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prosegur Compañía's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prosegur Compaa de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prosegur Compañía within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Prosegur Compañía Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prosegur Compañía for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prosegur Compaa de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prosegur Compaa de has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: The one-year returns for Prosegur Compaa de Seguridads shareholders have been notable, yet its earnings growth was even better - simplywall.st

Prosegur Compañía Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prosegur Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prosegur Compañía's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prosegur Compañía's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding532.4 M
Dividends Paid90.5 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.16

Prosegur Compañía Technical Analysis

Prosegur Compañía's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prosegur Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prosegur Compaa de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prosegur Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prosegur Compañía Predictive Forecast Models

Prosegur Compañía's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prosegur Compañía's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prosegur Compañía's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prosegur Compaa de

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prosegur Compañía for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prosegur Compaa de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prosegur Compaa de has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: The one-year returns for Prosegur Compaa de Seguridads shareholders have been notable, yet its earnings growth was even better - simplywall.st

Other Information on Investing in Prosegur Stock

Prosegur Compañía financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prosegur Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prosegur with respect to the benefits of owning Prosegur Compañía security.