Pricol (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 454.98

PRICOLLTD   480.50  5.65  1.19%   
Pricol's future price is the expected price of Pricol instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pricol Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pricol Backtesting, Pricol Valuation, Pricol Correlation, Pricol Hype Analysis, Pricol Volatility, Pricol History as well as Pricol Performance.
  
Please specify Pricol's target price for which you would like Pricol odds to be computed.

Pricol Target Price Odds to finish over 454.98

The tendency of Pricol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  454.98  in 90 days
 480.50 90 days 454.98 
about 84.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pricol to stay above  454.98  in 90 days from now is about 84.2 (This Pricol Limited probability density function shows the probability of Pricol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pricol Limited price to stay between  454.98  and its current price of 480.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pricol has a beta of 0.15 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pricol average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pricol Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pricol Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pricol Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pricol

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pricol Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
478.94480.50482.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
473.79475.35528.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
482.63484.18485.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.733.733.73
Details

Pricol Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pricol is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pricol's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pricol Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pricol within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
17.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Pricol Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pricol for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pricol Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pricol Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pricol Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Pricol Ltds Q2 FY24-25 Financial Report Shows Positive Performance, But Debt to Equity Ratio at Highest in Five Quarters. - MarketsMojo

Pricol Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pricol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pricol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pricol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding121.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Pricol Technical Analysis

Pricol's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pricol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pricol Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pricol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pricol Predictive Forecast Models

Pricol's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pricol's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pricol's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pricol Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pricol for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pricol Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pricol Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pricol Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Pricol Ltds Q2 FY24-25 Financial Report Shows Positive Performance, But Debt to Equity Ratio at Highest in Five Quarters. - MarketsMojo

Other Information on Investing in Pricol Stock

Pricol financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pricol Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pricol with respect to the benefits of owning Pricol security.