Prima Marine (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.92

PRM Stock  THB 9.00  0.05  0.56%   
Prima Marine's future price is the expected price of Prima Marine instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prima Marine Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prima Marine Backtesting, Prima Marine Valuation, Prima Marine Correlation, Prima Marine Hype Analysis, Prima Marine Volatility, Prima Marine History as well as Prima Marine Performance.
  
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Prima Marine Target Price Odds to finish below 7.92

The tendency of Prima Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  7.92  or more in 90 days
 9.00 90 days 7.92 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prima Marine to drop to  7.92  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Prima Marine Public probability density function shows the probability of Prima Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prima Marine Public price to stay between  7.92  and its current price of 9.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prima Marine Public has a beta of -0.31 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Prima Marine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Prima Marine Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Prima Marine Public has an alpha of 0.1618, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Prima Marine Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prima Marine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prima Marine Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.388.9510.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.867.439.00
Details

Prima Marine Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prima Marine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prima Marine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prima Marine Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prima Marine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Prima Marine Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prima Marine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prima Marine Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prima Marine Public has accumulated 3.97 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 53.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Prima Marine Public has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Prima Marine until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Prima Marine's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Prima Marine Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Prima to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Prima Marine's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of Prima Marine outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Prima Marine Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prima Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prima Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prima Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B

Prima Marine Technical Analysis

Prima Marine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prima Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prima Marine Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prima Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prima Marine Predictive Forecast Models

Prima Marine's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prima Marine's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prima Marine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prima Marine Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prima Marine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prima Marine Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prima Marine Public has accumulated 3.97 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 53.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Prima Marine Public has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Prima Marine until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Prima Marine's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Prima Marine Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Prima to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Prima Marine's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of Prima Marine outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Prima Stock

Prima Marine financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prima Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prima with respect to the benefits of owning Prima Marine security.