Primo Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.88

PRMB Stock   18.88  0.75  3.82%   
Primo Brands' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Primo Brands. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Primo Brands based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Primo Brands over a specific time period. For example, PRMB260515C00019000 is a PUT option contract on Primo Brands' common stock with a strick price of 19.0 expiring on 2026-05-15. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 95 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.75, and an ask price of $2.1. The implied volatility as of the 9th of February is 95.0. View All Primo options

Closest to current price Primo long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Primo Brands' future price is the expected price of Primo Brands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Primo Brands performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Primo Brands Analysis, Primo Brands Valuation, Primo Brands Correlation, Primo Brands Hype Analysis, Primo Brands Volatility, Primo Brands Price History as well as Primo Brands Performance.
For information on how to trade Primo Stock refer to our How to Trade Primo Stock guide.At present, Primo Brands' Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 15.08, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.90. Please specify Primo Brands' target price for which you would like Primo Brands odds to be computed.

Primo Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 18.88

The tendency of Primo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.88 90 days 18.88 
about 15.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Primo Brands to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.3 (This Primo Brands probability density function shows the probability of Primo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 indicating Primo Brands market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Primo Brands is expected to follow. Additionally Primo Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Primo Brands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Primo Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Primo Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5319.4621.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.4923.3625.29
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.8328.3831.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.240.200.35
Details

Primo Brands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Primo Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Primo Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Primo Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Primo Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Primo Brands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Primo Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Primo Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.02 B.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Johnson Fistel, PLLP Begins Investigation on Behalf of Long-Term Shareholders of New Fortress Energy Inc. , Nutex Health, Inc. , Primo Brands Corporation , and PubMatic, Inc.

Primo Brands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Primo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Primo Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primo Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding242.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments614.4 M

Primo Brands Technical Analysis

Primo Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Primo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Primo Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Primo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Primo Brands Predictive Forecast Models

Primo Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Primo Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Primo Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Primo Brands

Checking the ongoing alerts about Primo Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Primo Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.02 B.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Johnson Fistel, PLLP Begins Investigation on Behalf of Long-Term Shareholders of New Fortress Energy Inc. , Nutex Health, Inc. , Primo Brands Corporation , and PubMatic, Inc.
When determining whether Primo Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Primo Brands' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Primo Brands Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Primo Brands Stock:
Check out Primo Brands Analysis, Primo Brands Valuation, Primo Brands Correlation, Primo Brands Hype Analysis, Primo Brands Volatility, Primo Brands Price History as well as Primo Brands Performance.
For information on how to trade Primo Stock refer to our How to Trade Primo Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Primo Brands. Anticipated expansion of Primo directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Primo Brands assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.81)
Dividend Share
0.12
Earnings Share
(0.13)
Revenue Per Share
18.079
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.353
Primo Brands's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Primo's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Primo Brands' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Primo Brands' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Primo Brands' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Primo Brands should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Primo Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.