Prodea Real (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.20

PRODEA Stock  EUR 6.20  0.40  6.90%   
Prodea Real's future price is the expected price of Prodea Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prodea Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prodea Real Backtesting, Prodea Real Valuation, Prodea Real Correlation, Prodea Real Hype Analysis, Prodea Real Volatility, Prodea Real History as well as Prodea Real Performance.
  
Please specify Prodea Real's target price for which you would like Prodea Real odds to be computed.

Prodea Real Target Price Odds to finish over 6.20

The tendency of Prodea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.20 90 days 6.20 
about 85.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prodea Real to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.31 (This Prodea Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Prodea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prodea Real has a beta of 0.23 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prodea Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prodea Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prodea Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Prodea Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prodea Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prodea Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prodea Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.316.2010.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.415.309.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.616.5010.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.926.166.40
Details

Prodea Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prodea Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prodea Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prodea Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prodea Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Prodea Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prodea Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prodea Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prodea Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Prodea Real Estate has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Prodea Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prodea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prodea Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prodea Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding255.5 M
Dividends Paid82.7 M
Short Long Term Debt203.4 M

Prodea Real Technical Analysis

Prodea Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prodea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prodea Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prodea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prodea Real Predictive Forecast Models

Prodea Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prodea Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prodea Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prodea Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prodea Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prodea Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prodea Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Prodea Real Estate has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Prodea Stock

Prodea Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prodea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prodea with respect to the benefits of owning Prodea Real security.