Prospect Logistics (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.78

PROSPECT  THB 8.55  0.15  1.79%   
Prospect Logistics' future price is the expected price of Prospect Logistics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prospect Logistics and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prospect Logistics Backtesting, Prospect Logistics Valuation, Prospect Logistics Correlation, Prospect Logistics Hype Analysis, Prospect Logistics Volatility, Prospect Logistics History as well as Prospect Logistics Performance.
  
Please specify Prospect Logistics' target price for which you would like Prospect Logistics odds to be computed.

Prospect Logistics Target Price Odds to finish over 10.78

The tendency of Prospect Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  10.78  or more in 90 days
 8.55 90 days 10.78 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prospect Logistics to move over  10.78  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Prospect Logistics and probability density function shows the probability of Prospect Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prospect Logistics and price to stay between its current price of  8.55  and  10.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prospect Logistics has a beta of 0.15 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prospect Logistics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prospect Logistics and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prospect Logistics and has an alpha of 0.0508, implying that it can generate a 0.0508 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Prospect Logistics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prospect Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prospect Logistics and. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.678.559.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.518.399.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.638.519.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.228.368.51
Details

Prospect Logistics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prospect Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prospect Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prospect Logistics and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prospect Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Prospect Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prospect Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prospect Logistics and can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Prospect Logistics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prospect Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prospect Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prospect Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0934
Dividends Paid196.9 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.91

Prospect Logistics Technical Analysis

Prospect Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prospect Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prospect Logistics and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prospect Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prospect Logistics Predictive Forecast Models

Prospect Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Prospect Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prospect Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prospect Logistics and

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prospect Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prospect Logistics and help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Prospect Stock

Prospect Logistics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prospect Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prospect with respect to the benefits of owning Prospect Logistics security.