Proximus (Belgium) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.88

PROX Stock  EUR 6.73  0.03  0.45%   
Proximus' future price is the expected price of Proximus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Proximus NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Proximus Backtesting, Proximus Valuation, Proximus Correlation, Proximus Hype Analysis, Proximus Volatility, Proximus History as well as Proximus Performance.
  
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Proximus Target Price Odds to finish over 7.88

The tendency of Proximus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 7.88  or more in 90 days
 6.73 90 days 7.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Proximus to move over € 7.88  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Proximus NV probability density function shows the probability of Proximus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Proximus NV price to stay between its current price of € 6.73  and € 7.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Proximus NV has a beta of -0.29 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Proximus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Proximus NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Proximus NV has an alpha of 0.0133, implying that it can generate a 0.0133 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Proximus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Proximus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Proximus NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.396.708.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.265.576.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.266.577.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.376.646.91
Details

Proximus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Proximus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Proximus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Proximus NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Proximus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Proximus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Proximus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Proximus NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Proximus NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Proximus NV has accumulated 2.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.02, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Proximus NV has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Proximus until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Proximus' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Proximus NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Proximus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Proximus' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Proximus outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Proximus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Proximus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Proximus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Proximus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding322.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments249 M

Proximus Technical Analysis

Proximus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Proximus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Proximus NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Proximus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Proximus Predictive Forecast Models

Proximus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Proximus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Proximus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Proximus NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Proximus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Proximus NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Proximus NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Proximus NV has accumulated 2.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.02, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Proximus NV has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Proximus until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Proximus' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Proximus NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Proximus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Proximus' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Proximus outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Proximus Stock Analysis

When running Proximus' price analysis, check to measure Proximus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Proximus is operating at the current time. Most of Proximus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Proximus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Proximus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Proximus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.