Prosafe SE (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.35

PRS Stock  NOK 7.92  0.98  11.01%   
Prosafe SE's future price is the expected price of Prosafe SE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prosafe SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prosafe SE Backtesting, Prosafe SE Valuation, Prosafe SE Correlation, Prosafe SE Hype Analysis, Prosafe SE Volatility, Prosafe SE History as well as Prosafe SE Performance.
  
Please specify Prosafe SE's target price for which you would like Prosafe SE odds to be computed.

Prosafe SE Target Price Odds to finish over 31.35

The tendency of Prosafe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  31.35  or more in 90 days
 7.92 90 days 31.35 
about 5.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prosafe SE to move over  31.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.77 (This Prosafe SE probability density function shows the probability of Prosafe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prosafe SE price to stay between its current price of  7.92  and  31.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prosafe SE has a beta of -1.16 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Prosafe SE are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Prosafe SE is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Prosafe SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Prosafe SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prosafe SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prosafe SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.677.9215.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.357.6014.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.9011.1618.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.9818.2632.55
Details

Prosafe SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prosafe SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prosafe SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prosafe SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prosafe SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.16
σ
Overall volatility
7.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Prosafe SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prosafe SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prosafe SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prosafe SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Prosafe SE has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Prosafe SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prosafe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prosafe SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prosafe SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments71.5 M

Prosafe SE Technical Analysis

Prosafe SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prosafe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prosafe SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prosafe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prosafe SE Predictive Forecast Models

Prosafe SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prosafe SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prosafe SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prosafe SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prosafe SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prosafe SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prosafe SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Prosafe SE has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Prosafe Stock

Prosafe SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prosafe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prosafe with respect to the benefits of owning Prosafe SE security.