Prism Johnson (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 172.45

PRSMJOHNSN   193.13  1.79  0.92%   
Prism Johnson's future price is the expected price of Prism Johnson instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prism Johnson Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prism Johnson Backtesting, Prism Johnson Valuation, Prism Johnson Correlation, Prism Johnson Hype Analysis, Prism Johnson Volatility, Prism Johnson History as well as Prism Johnson Performance.
  
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Prism Johnson Target Price Odds to finish below 172.45

The tendency of Prism Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  172.45  or more in 90 days
 193.13 90 days 172.45 
roughly 2.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prism Johnson to drop to  172.45  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.16 (This Prism Johnson Limited probability density function shows the probability of Prism Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prism Johnson Limited price to stay between  172.45  and its current price of 193.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prism Johnson has a beta of 0.11 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prism Johnson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prism Johnson Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prism Johnson Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Prism Johnson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prism Johnson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prism Johnson Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
190.90193.30195.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
169.21171.61212.44
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.700.700.70
Details

Prism Johnson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prism Johnson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prism Johnson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prism Johnson Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prism Johnson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
11.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Prism Johnson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prism Johnson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prism Johnson Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prism Johnson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Prism Johnson Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prism Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prism Johnson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prism Johnson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding503.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.6 B

Prism Johnson Technical Analysis

Prism Johnson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prism Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prism Johnson Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prism Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prism Johnson Predictive Forecast Models

Prism Johnson's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prism Johnson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prism Johnson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prism Johnson Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prism Johnson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prism Johnson Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prism Johnson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Prism Stock

Prism Johnson financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prism Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prism with respect to the benefits of owning Prism Johnson security.