Us Treasury Long Term Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.03
| PRUUX Fund | USD 7.53 0.06 0.80% |
PRUUX |
Us Treasury Target Price Odds to finish below 8.03
The tendency of PRUUX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 8.03 after 90 days |
| 7.53 | 90 days | 8.03 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Us Treasury to stay under $ 8.03 after 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Us Treasury Long Term probability density function shows the probability of PRUUX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Us Treasury Long price to stay between its current price of $ 7.53 and $ 8.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.81 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Us Treasury Long Term has a beta of -0.25 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Us Treasury are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Us Treasury Long Term is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Us Treasury Long Term has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Us Treasury Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Us Treasury
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Us Treasury Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Us Treasury's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Us Treasury Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Us Treasury is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Us Treasury's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Us Treasury Long Term, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Us Treasury within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Us Treasury Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Us Treasury for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Us Treasury Long can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Us Treasury Long generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Us Treasury Long generated five year return of -6.0% | |
| This fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Us Treasury Technical Analysis
Us Treasury's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PRUUX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Us Treasury Long Term. In general, you should focus on analyzing PRUUX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Us Treasury Predictive Forecast Models
Us Treasury's time-series forecasting models is one of many Us Treasury's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Us Treasury's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Us Treasury Long
Checking the ongoing alerts about Us Treasury for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Us Treasury Long help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Us Treasury Long generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Us Treasury Long generated five year return of -6.0% | |
| This fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Other Information on Investing in PRUUX Mutual Fund
Us Treasury financial ratios help investors to determine whether PRUUX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PRUUX with respect to the benefits of owning Us Treasury security.
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