Smallcap Fund Fka Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 25.21

PSABX Fund  USD 25.21  0.00  0.00%   
Smallcap Fund's future price is the expected price of Smallcap Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Smallcap Fund Fka performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Smallcap Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Smallcap Fund Correlation, Smallcap Fund Hype Analysis, Smallcap Fund Volatility, Smallcap Fund History as well as Smallcap Fund Performance.
  
Please specify Smallcap Fund's target price for which you would like Smallcap Fund odds to be computed.

Smallcap Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 25.21

The tendency of Smallcap Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 25.21 90 days 25.21 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smallcap Fund to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Smallcap Fund Fka probability density function shows the probability of Smallcap Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Smallcap Fund has a beta of 0.3 indicating as returns on the market go up, Smallcap Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Smallcap Fund Fka will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Smallcap Fund Fka has an alpha of 0.0448, implying that it can generate a 0.0448 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Smallcap Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Smallcap Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smallcap Fund Fka. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.0025.2126.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6624.8726.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.7024.9126.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.4025.0025.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Smallcap Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Smallcap Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Smallcap Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Smallcap Fund Fka.

Smallcap Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smallcap Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smallcap Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smallcap Fund Fka, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smallcap Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Smallcap Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smallcap Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smallcap Fund Fka can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Smallcap Fund Fka maintains 98.67% of its assets in stocks

Smallcap Fund Technical Analysis

Smallcap Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Smallcap Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Smallcap Fund Fka. In general, you should focus on analyzing Smallcap Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Smallcap Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Smallcap Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Smallcap Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Smallcap Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Smallcap Fund Fka

Checking the ongoing alerts about Smallcap Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Smallcap Fund Fka help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Smallcap Fund Fka maintains 98.67% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Smallcap Mutual Fund

Smallcap Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Smallcap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Smallcap with respect to the benefits of owning Smallcap Fund security.
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios