Prasidha Aneka (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.75
| PSDN Stock | IDR 81.00 2.00 2.41% |
Prasidha |
Prasidha Aneka Target Price Odds to finish below 80.75
The tendency of Prasidha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 80.75 or more in 90 days |
| 81.00 | 90 days | 80.75 | nearly 4.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prasidha Aneka to drop to 80.75 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.72 (This Prasidha Aneka Niaga probability density function shows the probability of Prasidha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prasidha Aneka Niaga price to stay between 80.75 and its current price of 81.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prasidha Aneka has a beta of 0.44 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prasidha Aneka average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prasidha Aneka Niaga will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prasidha Aneka Niaga has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Prasidha Aneka Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Prasidha Aneka
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prasidha Aneka Niaga. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prasidha Aneka Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prasidha Aneka is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prasidha Aneka's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prasidha Aneka Niaga, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prasidha Aneka within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Prasidha Aneka Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prasidha Aneka for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prasidha Aneka Niaga can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Prasidha Aneka Niaga generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 868.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (86.87 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 52.9 B. | |
| About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Prasidha Aneka Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prasidha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prasidha Aneka's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prasidha Aneka's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.6 B |
Prasidha Aneka Technical Analysis
Prasidha Aneka's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prasidha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prasidha Aneka Niaga. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prasidha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Prasidha Aneka Predictive Forecast Models
Prasidha Aneka's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prasidha Aneka's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prasidha Aneka's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Prasidha Aneka Niaga
Checking the ongoing alerts about Prasidha Aneka for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prasidha Aneka Niaga help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Prasidha Aneka Niaga generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 868.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (86.87 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 52.9 B. | |
| About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Prasidha Stock
Prasidha Aneka financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prasidha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prasidha with respect to the benefits of owning Prasidha Aneka security.