Psagot Index (Israel) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 363.48

PSG-F13 Etf  ILA 361.45  0.00  0.00%   
Psagot Index's future price is the expected price of Psagot Index instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Psagot Index Funds performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
  
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Psagot Index Target Price Odds to finish over 363.48

The tendency of Psagot Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  363.48  or more in 90 days
 361.45 90 days 363.48 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Psagot Index to move over  363.48  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Psagot Index Funds probability density function shows the probability of Psagot Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Psagot Index Funds price to stay between its current price of  361.45  and  363.48  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Psagot Index Funds has a beta of -0.0079 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Psagot Index are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Psagot Index Funds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Psagot Index Funds has an alpha of 0.0335, implying that it can generate a 0.0335 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Psagot Index Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Psagot Index

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Psagot Index Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
361.34361.45361.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
331.32331.43397.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
363.36363.48363.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
359.19360.47361.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Psagot Index. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Psagot Index's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Psagot Index's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Psagot Index Funds.

Psagot Index Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Psagot Index is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Psagot Index's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Psagot Index Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Psagot Index within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0079
σ
Overall volatility
3.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.48

Psagot Index Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Psagot Index for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Psagot Index Funds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Psagot Index Funds is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

Psagot Index Technical Analysis

Psagot Index's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Psagot Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Psagot Index Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing Psagot Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Psagot Index Predictive Forecast Models

Psagot Index's time-series forecasting models is one of many Psagot Index's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Psagot Index's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Psagot Index Funds

Checking the ongoing alerts about Psagot Index for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Psagot Index Funds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Psagot Index Funds is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

Other Information on Investing in Psagot Etf

Psagot Index financial ratios help investors to determine whether Psagot Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Psagot with respect to the benefits of owning Psagot Index security.