Pershing Square (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.56
| PSH Stock | USD 47.25 0.60 1.29% |
Pershing |
Pershing Square Target Price Odds to finish below 45.56
The tendency of Pershing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 45.56 or more in 90 days |
| 47.25 | 90 days | 45.56 | about 19.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pershing Square to drop to $ 45.56 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.32 (This Pershing Square Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Pershing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pershing Square Holdings price to stay between $ 45.56 and its current price of $47.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pershing Square has a beta of 0.35 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pershing Square average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pershing Square Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pershing Square Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pershing Square Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pershing Square
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pershing Square Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pershing Square Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pershing Square is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pershing Square's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pershing Square Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pershing Square within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Pershing Square Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pershing Square for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pershing Square Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pershing Square generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pershing Square has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Pershing Square Holdings has accumulated about 11.69 B in cash with (914.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 58.72, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Pershing Square Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pershing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pershing Square's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pershing Square's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 199.1 M |
Pershing Square Technical Analysis
Pershing Square's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pershing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pershing Square Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pershing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pershing Square Predictive Forecast Models
Pershing Square's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pershing Square's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pershing Square's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pershing Square Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pershing Square for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pershing Square Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pershing Square generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pershing Square has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Pershing Square Holdings has accumulated about 11.69 B in cash with (914.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 58.72, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Tools for Pershing Stock Analysis
When running Pershing Square's price analysis, check to measure Pershing Square's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pershing Square is operating at the current time. Most of Pershing Square's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pershing Square's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pershing Square's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pershing Square to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.