Power Solution (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.61

PSTC Stock  THB 0.41  0.01  2.38%   
Power Solution's future price is the expected price of Power Solution instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Power Solution Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Power Solution Backtesting, Power Solution Valuation, Power Solution Correlation, Power Solution Hype Analysis, Power Solution Volatility, Power Solution History as well as Power Solution Performance.
  
Please specify Power Solution's target price for which you would like Power Solution odds to be computed.

Power Solution Target Price Odds to finish below 1.61

The tendency of Power Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1.61  after 90 days
 0.41 90 days 1.61 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Power Solution to stay under  1.61  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Power Solution Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Power Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Power Solution Techn price to stay between its current price of  0.41  and  1.61  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Power Solution Technologies has a beta of -0.22 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Power Solution are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Power Solution Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Power Solution Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Power Solution Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Power Solution

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Power Solution Techn. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.413.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.383.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.383.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.410.440.46
Details

Power Solution Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Power Solution is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Power Solution's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Power Solution Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Power Solution within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Power Solution Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Power Solution for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Power Solution Techn can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Power Solution Techn generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Power Solution Techn has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Power Solution Techn has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Power Solution Techn has accumulated 530.58 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Power Solution Technologies has accumulated 530.58 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 70.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Power Solution Techn has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Power Solution until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Power Solution's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Power Solution Techn sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Power to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Power Solution's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (671.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 271.23 M.
About 42.0% of Power Solution outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Power Solution Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Power Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Power Solution's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Power Solution's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.4 B

Power Solution Technical Analysis

Power Solution's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Power Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Power Solution Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Power Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Power Solution Predictive Forecast Models

Power Solution's time-series forecasting models is one of many Power Solution's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Power Solution's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Power Solution Techn

Checking the ongoing alerts about Power Solution for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Power Solution Techn help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Power Solution Techn generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Power Solution Techn has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Power Solution Techn has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Power Solution Techn has accumulated 530.58 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Power Solution Technologies has accumulated 530.58 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 70.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Power Solution Techn has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Power Solution until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Power Solution's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Power Solution Techn sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Power to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Power Solution's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (671.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 271.23 M.
About 42.0% of Power Solution outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Power Stock

Power Solution financial ratios help investors to determine whether Power Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Power with respect to the benefits of owning Power Solution security.