Performance Trust Strategic Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 18.52
| PTIAX Fund | USD 20.01 0.07 0.35% |
Performance |
Performance Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 18.52
The tendency of Performance Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.52 or more in 90 days |
| 20.01 | 90 days | 18.52 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Performance Trust to drop to $ 18.52 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Performance Trust Strategic probability density function shows the probability of Performance Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Performance Trust price to stay between $ 18.52 and its current price of $20.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Performance Trust Strategic has a beta of -0.0695 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Performance Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Performance Trust Strategic is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Performance Trust Strategic has an alpha of 9.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 8.56E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Performance Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Performance Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Performance Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Performance Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Performance Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Performance Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Performance Trust Strategic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Performance Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.44 |
Performance Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Performance Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Performance Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Performance Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Performance Trust maintains about 98.01% of its assets in bonds |
Performance Trust Technical Analysis
Performance Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Performance Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Performance Trust Strategic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Performance Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Performance Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Performance Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Performance Trust's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Performance Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Performance Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Performance Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Performance Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Performance Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Performance Trust maintains about 98.01% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Performance Mutual Fund
Performance Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Performance Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Performance with respect to the benefits of owning Performance Trust security.
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