Indo Straits (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 199.5
| PTIS Stock | IDR 220.00 2.00 0.90% |
Indo |
Indo Straits Target Price Odds to finish below 199.5
The tendency of Indo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 199.50 or more in 90 days |
| 220.00 | 90 days | 199.50 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indo Straits to drop to 199.50 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Indo Straits Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Indo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indo Straits Tbk price to stay between 199.50 and its current price of 220.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indo Straits Tbk has a beta of -1.18 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Indo Straits Tbk are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Indo Straits is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Indo Straits Tbk has an alpha of 0.5067, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Indo Straits Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Indo Straits
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indo Straits Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Indo Straits Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indo Straits is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indo Straits' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indo Straits Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indo Straits within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 25.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Indo Straits Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indo Straits for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indo Straits Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Indo Straits Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 4.95 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Indo Straits Tbk has accumulated 4.95 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 65.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Indo Straits Tbk has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Indo Straits until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Indo Straits' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Indo Straits Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Indo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Indo Straits' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 82.0% of Indo Straits outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Indo Straits Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indo Straits' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indo Straits' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 550.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Indo Straits Technical Analysis
Indo Straits' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indo Straits Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indo Straits Predictive Forecast Models
Indo Straits' time-series forecasting models is one of many Indo Straits' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indo Straits' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indo Straits Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indo Straits for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indo Straits Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Indo Straits Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 4.95 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Indo Straits Tbk has accumulated 4.95 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 65.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Indo Straits Tbk has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Indo Straits until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Indo Straits' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Indo Straits Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Indo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Indo Straits' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 82.0% of Indo Straits outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Indo Stock
Indo Straits financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indo with respect to the benefits of owning Indo Straits security.