Pratama Widya (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 923.01
| PTPW Stock | IDR 885.00 35.00 3.80% |
Pratama |
Pratama Widya Target Price Odds to finish below 923.01
The tendency of Pratama Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 923.01 after 90 days |
| 885.00 | 90 days | 923.01 | about 17.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pratama Widya to stay under 923.01 after 90 days from now is about 17.79 (This Pratama Widya Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Pratama Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pratama Widya Tbk price to stay between its current price of 885.00 and 923.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pratama Widya Tbk has a beta of -0.001 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pratama Widya are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pratama Widya Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pratama Widya Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pratama Widya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pratama Widya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pratama Widya Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pratama Widya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pratama Widya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pratama Widya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pratama Widya Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pratama Widya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.001 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Pratama Widya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pratama Widya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pratama Widya Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pratama Widya Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pratama Widya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pratama Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pratama Widya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pratama Widya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 878.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.9 B |
Pratama Widya Technical Analysis
Pratama Widya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pratama Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pratama Widya Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pratama Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pratama Widya Predictive Forecast Models
Pratama Widya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pratama Widya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pratama Widya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pratama Widya Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pratama Widya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pratama Widya Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pratama Widya Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pratama Stock
Pratama Widya financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pratama Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pratama with respect to the benefits of owning Pratama Widya security.