Putman Absolute Return Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.51
| PTRKX Fund | USD 8.29 0.03 0.36% |
Putman |
Putman Absolute Target Price Odds to finish over 8.51
The tendency of Putman Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.51 or more in 90 days |
| 8.29 | 90 days | 8.51 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Putman Absolute to move over $ 8.51 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Putman Absolute Return probability density function shows the probability of Putman Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Putman Absolute Return price to stay between its current price of $ 8.29 and $ 8.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Putman Absolute Return has a beta of -0.0557 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Putman Absolute are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Putman Absolute Return is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Putman Absolute Return has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Putman Absolute Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Putman Absolute
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Putman Absolute Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Putman Absolute Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Putman Absolute is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Putman Absolute's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Putman Absolute Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Putman Absolute within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.49 |
Putman Absolute Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Putman Absolute for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Putman Absolute Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Putman Absolute generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 10.97% of its assets in bonds |
Putman Absolute Technical Analysis
Putman Absolute's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Putman Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Putman Absolute Return. In general, you should focus on analyzing Putman Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Putman Absolute Predictive Forecast Models
Putman Absolute's time-series forecasting models is one of many Putman Absolute's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Putman Absolute's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Putman Absolute Return
Checking the ongoing alerts about Putman Absolute for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Putman Absolute Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Putman Absolute generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 10.97% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Putman Mutual Fund
Putman Absolute financial ratios help investors to determine whether Putman Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Putman with respect to the benefits of owning Putman Absolute security.
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