Pioneerindo Gourmet (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4,559
| PTSP Stock | IDR 900.00 40.00 4.65% |
Pioneerindo |
Pioneerindo Gourmet Target Price Odds to finish below 4,559
The tendency of Pioneerindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 900.00 | 90 days | 900.00 | about 9.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pioneerindo Gourmet to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 9.71 (This Pioneerindo Gourmet International probability density function shows the probability of Pioneerindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pioneerindo Gourmet International has a beta of -0.37 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pioneerindo Gourmet are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pioneerindo Gourmet International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pioneerindo Gourmet International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pioneerindo Gourmet Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pioneerindo Gourmet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pioneerindo Gourmet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pioneerindo Gourmet Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pioneerindo Gourmet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pioneerindo Gourmet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pioneerindo Gourmet International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pioneerindo Gourmet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 107.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Pioneerindo Gourmet Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pioneerindo Gourmet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pioneerindo Gourmet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pioneerindo Gourmet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pioneerindo Gourmet has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pioneerindo Gourmet International has accumulated 34.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.67, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pioneerindo Gourmet has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pioneerindo Gourmet until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pioneerindo Gourmet's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pioneerindo Gourmet sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pioneerindo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pioneerindo Gourmet's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 423.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (17.6 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 251.96 B. | |
| About 73.0% of Pioneerindo Gourmet outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pioneerindo Gourmet Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pioneerindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pioneerindo Gourmet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pioneerindo Gourmet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.4 B |
Pioneerindo Gourmet Technical Analysis
Pioneerindo Gourmet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pioneerindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pioneerindo Gourmet International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pioneerindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pioneerindo Gourmet Predictive Forecast Models
Pioneerindo Gourmet's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pioneerindo Gourmet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pioneerindo Gourmet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pioneerindo Gourmet
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pioneerindo Gourmet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pioneerindo Gourmet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pioneerindo Gourmet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pioneerindo Gourmet has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pioneerindo Gourmet International has accumulated 34.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.67, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pioneerindo Gourmet has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pioneerindo Gourmet until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pioneerindo Gourmet's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pioneerindo Gourmet sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pioneerindo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pioneerindo Gourmet's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 423.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (17.6 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 251.96 B. | |
| About 73.0% of Pioneerindo Gourmet outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pioneerindo Stock
Pioneerindo Gourmet financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pioneerindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pioneerindo with respect to the benefits of owning Pioneerindo Gourmet security.