Pudjiadi Prestige (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 181.68
| PUDP Stock | IDR 344.00 76.00 28.36% |
Pudjiadi |
Pudjiadi Prestige Target Price Odds to finish below 181.68
The tendency of Pudjiadi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 181.68 or more in 90 days |
| 344.00 | 90 days | 181.68 | about 1.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pudjiadi Prestige to drop to 181.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.54 (This Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Pudjiadi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk price to stay between 181.68 and its current price of 344.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.35 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Pudjiadi Prestige will likely underperform. Additionally Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk has an alpha of 0.553, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pudjiadi Prestige Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pudjiadi Prestige
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pudjiadi Prestige Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pudjiadi Prestige is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pudjiadi Prestige's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pudjiadi Prestige within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 24.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Pudjiadi Prestige Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pudjiadi Prestige for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pudjiadi Prestige is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pudjiadi Prestige appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 55.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (17.74 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 41.15 B. | |
| Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk has accumulated about 7.74 B in cash with (11.01 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pudjiadi Prestige Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pudjiadi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pudjiadi Prestige's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pudjiadi Prestige's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 329.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.8 B |
Pudjiadi Prestige Technical Analysis
Pudjiadi Prestige's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pudjiadi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pudjiadi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pudjiadi Prestige Predictive Forecast Models
Pudjiadi Prestige's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pudjiadi Prestige's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pudjiadi Prestige's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pudjiadi Prestige for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pudjiadi Prestige is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Pudjiadi Prestige appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 55.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (17.74 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 41.15 B. | |
| Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk has accumulated about 7.74 B in cash with (11.01 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pudjiadi Stock
Pudjiadi Prestige financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pudjiadi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pudjiadi with respect to the benefits of owning Pudjiadi Prestige security.