Puuilo Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.01
| PUUILO Stock | 9.40 0.14 1.51% |
Puuilo |
Puuilo Oyj Target Price Odds to finish over 9.01
The tendency of Puuilo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 9.01 in 90 days |
| 9.40 | 90 days | 9.01 | about 91.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Puuilo Oyj to stay above 9.01 in 90 days from now is about 91.15 (This Puuilo Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Puuilo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Puuilo Oyj price to stay between 9.01 and its current price of 9.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Puuilo Oyj has a beta of 0.18 indicating as returns on the market go up, Puuilo Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Puuilo Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Puuilo Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Puuilo Oyj Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Puuilo Oyj
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Puuilo Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Puuilo Oyj Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Puuilo Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Puuilo Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Puuilo Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Puuilo Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Puuilo Oyj Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Puuilo Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Puuilo Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Puuilo Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Puuilo Oyj Technical Analysis
Puuilo Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Puuilo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Puuilo Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Puuilo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Puuilo Oyj Predictive Forecast Models
Puuilo Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Puuilo Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Puuilo Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Puuilo Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about Puuilo Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Puuilo Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Puuilo Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |